The athletics program at the Olympics is about to get underway with there being some massive races where the winners are far from certain, therefore many predictions are still to be made. For me there are only a few events where there is an almost certain winner – such as Ashton Eaton in the men’s Decathlon – but most others should be closer contested events. Make your prediction here to who will win the gold in the top events along with who will medal.
Therefore, I am going to start up some predictions to these races and competitions to see if any of you can correctly predict as many winners as possible. Alongside this, it will show the most voted for winners and give a Run Reporter overview to who is predicted to be the most likely winners.
Here is listed in chronological the most highly anticipated events and finals for the athletics program at the Rio Olympics.
My Prediction: Almaz Ayana
The first big final of the athletics calendar with 42 year old British distance runner Jo Pavey attending her fifth Olympics. The most interesting outcome surrounds Tirunesh Dibaba who is going after an unprecedented third Olympic Gold medal in three consecutive Olympics over the 10,000m.
Men’s Long Jump
My Prediction: Greg Rutherford
Although Greg Rutherford is the reigning Olympic, World, European and Commonwealth champion, he may come under threat from some of the top American jumpers who lead the way with the longest jumps this year, the longest jump of the year coming from Jarrion Lawson with a jump of 8.58m (+1.8). Rutherford is only 9th this year with 8.31m.
My Prediction: Mo Farah
Mo Farah will be going for a historic double double this Olympics, something no one has ever done before. However, the men’s 10,000m competition is likely going to be tougher than the 5000m with strong competition coming from Kenyans Paul Tanui and Geoffrey Kamworor, Galen Rupp should also not be discounted for a medal.
My Prediction: Elaine Thompson
Newly converted 100m runner from the heptathlon, Dafne Schippers will be looking to cause an upset over the top Jamaicans and Americans. Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce is also on the comeback and will want to defend her title from 2012.
My Prediction: Jessica Ennis-Hill
This event will be a very close one with anything possible happening due to the nature of it’s event. This was shown by medal contender Johnson-Thompson from Great Britain who failed to post a mark in the long jump at the World Championships. Jess Ennis-Hill and Brianne Theisen-Eaton will be going head to head as the main contenders.
My Prediction: Wayde Van Niekerk
Over the last few years, Michael Johnson’s World Record of 43.18 has been getting closer and closer with Wayde Van Niekerk being one of the world’s top sprinters. He has tough competition only running the third fastest time this year as LaShawn Merritt leads the way with his 43.97 run at the US Trials.
My Prediction: Usain Bolt
Usain Bolt would class himself as the outright favourite for another historic third Olympic gold over the 100m in as many games. However, Justin Gatlin will plan on pushing him even closer than he did in the World Championships last year where Bolt got the edge.
My Prediction: David Rudisha
David Rudisha recently ran a world leading time of 1:43.35 despite being beaten at the Kenyan Olympic trials, he has shown certain vulnerability since his incredible 1:40.91 WR at the last Olympics. This race could be a Kenyan 1, 2, 3 but the French athlete Bosse will ant otherwise as will the fast finishing Polish Adam Kszczot.
My Prediction: Allyson Felix
Allyson Felix failed to make the US team for these Olympics finishing 4th, therefore won’t be able to defend her title. Therefore she will be going all out to win gold in the 400m, however she is not the world leader, where the worlds best Shaunae Miller (49.55) will be chased by Felix all the way (49.68).
My Prediction: Almaz Ayana
After drug allegations surrounding her coach and suffering injuries, Genzebe Dibaba has not been in the same shape as last year, therefore won’t competing in the 5000m, but instead just the 1500m. World Champion Almaz Ayana will go into this races being the favourite as world leader running 14:12.59, however coming back to chase her will be Helen Obiri of Kenya.
My Prediction: Asbel Kiprop
Anything can happen in the men’s middle distance races, with there being high profile losses for the likes of Asbel Kiprop already this year despite being a class apart from the rest early on the year running 3:29.33. He probably still remains the favourite as fellow Kenyans along with Taoufik Makhloufi and Abdelaati Iguider being in contention also. Matthew Centrowitz however is also a great finisher and may be a medalist.
My Prediction: Mo Farah
Again Mo Farah will be chasing victory here to complete the double double. The spotlight will be solely on him as he is unbeaten at the distance in major championships since 2009, alongside the fact that he is world leader having run 12:59.29. The main contenders behind will all be Ethiopian with Mukhtar Edris showing his great finishing speed this year.
My Prediction: Eliud Kipchoge
This is set to be one of the best races of the whole games, getting greater publicity than recent Olympics. Galen Rupp will be going after the 10,000m, marathon double but will struggle to compete with the 2:04 marathoner Eliud Kipchoge who seemed almost unbeatable in his dominant London Marathon victory.